September 29, 2022 Moscow is preparing for the annexation of the four regions where the Kremlin recently staged the circus act they call "referenda." The demonstration in support of the annexation is set for Sep 30, and the sessions of the Duma and the Federation Council are set for Oct 3 and 4, respectively. It … Continue reading Putin’s Military Solution?
June 16, 2022 It has been over a week since the last war update, and there is not a whole lot new to report in front developments. There have been some predictable events as the war nears the end of its fourth month -- exhaustion is setting in on both sides, and right now the … Continue reading Putin’s boa constrictor strategy vs West Cunctator
May 25, 2022 For all their pious platitudes, the governments of Germany, France, and Italy are actively sabotaging the military aid to Ukraine, and have effectively stabbed Kyiv in the back. I have written previously about this danger, but now it has become an open and clear position that is being articulated with increasing vehemence … Continue reading Western Europe is stabbing Ukraine in the back
May 23, 2022 The Russian offensives have run out of steam, again. In the north, their counter-attack in the area around Kharkiv bogged down at Ternova. This still leaves the crucial transport hub of Vovchansk in Russian hands, so the Ukrainians are likely trying to restart their own attack to capture it. In the center, … Continue reading War Update: fighting toward uti possidetis or Ukrainian victory
May 19, 2022 As I have written previously, phase II of the war -- the "Easter Offensive" of the Russians -- is all but over. The Ukrainians have liberated most of the area around Kharkiv -- and, apparently, the Russian commander in charge of taking that city has been dismissed -- with some of the … Continue reading Collective West, now is not the time to go wobbly
May 14, 2022 As the second phase draws to a close without a strategic breakthrough for either side (which, under the circumstances, is a victory for Ukraine since it was the Russians who were supposed to achieve their multiple goals with the vaunted Easter Offensive), the next steps are coming into focus. Putin has reportedly … Continue reading Putin’s useful idiots — unbelievably, still in Berlin and Paris