December 5, 2022 It has been a while since I've written an update on the war, and now several recent events have prompted some analysis. The events in question: recent surveys about support for the war in Russia (both public-sourced and leaked internal to the Kremlin), the continuing fallout of the misstep by a host … Continue reading Russia is, for now, the insurmountable obstacle to peace
Category: war termination
December 2, 2022 My happiness of seeing my long-suffering op-ed appear in the Union-Tribune today was destroyed by the Washington Post publishing an outright call to capitulate to Russia by some unknown to me "specialist" named Robert Wright. Comrade Wright has thoughts: "If an enduring peace can be had through negotiation — and we won’t … Continue reading Washington Post publishes another call to surrender to Putin
November 24, 2022 Each Ukrainian success on the battlefield is followed by two things: a ferocious terrorist attack on civilian infrastructure by Russia, and a slew of articles preaching capitulating to Putin in the West. This time, it's in Foreign Affairs, and is a fantasy short-story penned by Tatiana Stanovaya. Let me begin by summarizing … Continue reading Foreign Affairs in Wonderland: Stanovaya and imaginary “peacemakers”
November 15, 2022 Another abominable screed by a Putin-verstehener who's been peddling Kremlin propaganda since the start of the war. Why is WaPo publishing this drivel, I do not know, but I do know that they have TWICE now rejected my submissions for the alternative view of what needs to be done. Quick summary of … Continue reading Another abominable Putin-verstehener: vanden Heuvel in the WaPo
October 28, 2022 There is an increasingly widespread, and popular, narrative in Ukraine and in the West that Putin realizes he's losing the war, has taken relatively extreme measures -- unthinkable until recently (mobilization, re-creating penal battalions, moving the economy to wartime footing) -- to slow this down because he fears the impact a defeat … Continue reading Russia is never as strong as we fear, or as weak as we hope
September 29, 2022 Moscow is preparing for the annexation of the four regions where the Kremlin recently staged the circus act they call "referenda." The demonstration in support of the annexation is set for Sep 30, and the sessions of the Duma and the Federation Council are set for Oct 3 and 4, respectively. It … Continue reading Putin’s Military Solution?
September 25, 2022 The war in Ukraine is fast approaching the moment of truth -- the series of events that will tell us what the eventual outcome is likely to be. Putin's situation is desperate, and is getting worse by the hour: while the mobilization didn't create the social explosion many analysts were predicting, it … Continue reading Endgame
September 16, 2022 The Russian channels are abuzz with activity -- the crazies have concocted the "peace plan" that Ukraine supposedly delivered to Russia through Erdogan. Here's what these science fiction writers came up with: Removal all of Russian military from territories taken after February 24 2022. Transfer of all gold and foreign currency reserves … Continue reading The imperialists in Russia see red
September 14, 2022 As I wrote previously, the hunt for witches in Russia has begun -- there is a desperate need to find and punish someone for the military disaster in Kharkiv Oblast, and it does not matter if they are responsible for it or not. In fact, almost certainly nobody responsible for it would … Continue reading Next steps for Russia?
September 11, 2022 Friends: Let's take a breather from the astounding successes of ZSU in Kharkiv to think a bit what might come next. Making predictions, especially about the future, is risky business and I have been wrong almost as often as right, but I believe we need to pause and not let ourselves get … Continue reading The War in Ukraine: What Now?